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                                                                                                                                                 Global Auto Market 2019 Overlook


                    Auto parts exports and imports value in Taiwan (Table 2)
                                  Year                   2014           2015        2016       2017        2018                            By Huang Wei-Shiou
                             Value                       69,452        67,224      62,857     60,767       62,779
                    Import                                                                                                                    A harsh economic situation swept through the      On the other hand, sales in the U.S auto market
                             Annual growth rate         12.45%         -3.21%      -6.50%     -3.22%       3.31%                           global automotive market in 2018, largely due to   were surprisingly steady in 2018, far beyond market
                             Value                      162,683       168,987     168,912     172,101     171,833                          slowing market demand and political competition   prediction. The overall sales were approximately 17.30
                    Export                                                                                                                 among the world’s superpowers, as well as decreasing   million units, surpassing the record for over 17 million
                             Annual growth rate          6.59%         3.88%       -0.04%     1.89%       -0.16%                           confi dence from consumers, leading to the fi rst decline   units sold in four consecutive years, representing the
                    (Figures in million New Taiwan dollars)                                                                                in five years in the industry. More importantly is how   tenacity of the American auto manufacturing industry.
                                                                                                                                           the main markets in China, Europe and North America   However, with four factors disrupting the market--
                                                                                                                                           have already fallen into negative growth. Despite   increasing car loan interest rates, fewer car rental
                                                                                                                                           the shrinking market, there are several promising   discount programs from auto plants, the economic
                                                                                                                                           prospects to expect, including exponential growth   cycle of the auto market, and more appealing options
                                                                                                                                           in electric vehicles and advancing self-driving car   among second-hand cars --sales of new vehicles were
                    Main Importing and Exporting countries in Taiwan’s auto parts market (Table 3)                                         technologies.                                     impacted, prompting concerns of an overall market
                                                                                                                                                                                             decline.
                    Importing Country           Japan        China        Thailand      Germany      South Korea                              Due to the shrinking auto markets in both China
                                                                                                                                           and the U.S., the sales in the global auto market   Self-Driving Vehicle Trends
                                                                                                                                           in 2018 was down by 0.7% to 93.6 million units as
                                               34.14%
                                                                          11.65%
                    Import Share
                                                            21.15%
                                                                                                         5.68
                                                                                         8.26%
 36                 Exporting Country            U.S.        Japan         China        The U.K.       Germany                             other markets were unable to step in. Together with   the global autonomous vehicle industry, governments
                                                                                                                                                                                                Faced with the business opportunity and trends in
                                                                                                                                           China’s stimulus package and on the condition that
                                                                                                                                                                                             and industries compete to develop their vision and
                                                                                                                                           the country maintains peaceful trade negotiation with
                    Export Share               46.33%        5.59%         4.54%         3.34%          3.15%                              the U.S. and other countries, the annual growth rate   blueprint of their desired self-driving vehicles.
                                                                                                                                           for 2019 is expected to be at 1%. However, if the trade   The U.S. scheme is considered the most
                    Source: Customs Administration, Ministry of Finance of Taiwan                                                          negotiations between the U.S and China break down,   progressive for launching the Self-Driving Car System
                                                                                                                                           the global auto market would face a diffi cult recovery   2.0 in 2017 as a blueprint highlighting the partnership
                                                                                                                                           between 2019 and 2021.                            between the industry, government, and academia. The
                                                                                                                                                                                             scheme is aimed to accelerate the timeline of road
                                                                                                                                              Not much changes were made to the global auto   testing for autonomous vehicles and a guideline to
                                                                                                                                           market distribution, with China still the largest market   simultaneously develop the main body of a self-driving
                                                                                                                                           at 30% and followed by the U.S. with 19%. Together   vehicle and the Internet of Vehicles technology. If
                                                                                                                                           are influential in terms of global influence as both   things go as planned, the U.S. expects to launch Level
                                                                                                                                           make up half of the world’s auto market.          5 Self-Driving Vehicles after 2025.
                                                                                                                                              In 2018, the Chinese auto market suffered         The development of self-driving cars in the
                                                                                                                                           through a severe economic downturn. Although the   European region is comparatively conservative,
                                                                                                                                           government launched tax cuts and auto dealers     mainly focusing on self-driving business cars and
                                                                                                                                           lowered the price to stimulate consumer spending,   medium-sized shuttle buses. With consideration of
                                                                                                                                           both attempts failed to turn the market around.   strict guidelines to upholding human dignity, safety
                                                                                                                                                                                             and information protection standards and protocols,
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